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Participate 2012: Will Obama or Romney Win The 2012 Presidential Election?

Now that the Democratic and Republican delegates have officially chosen their nominees, Sarasota Patch wants to know: Who are you betting on?

 

It's official: With President Barack Obama's acceptance speech in Charlotte Thursday night, both the Republicans and Democrats have formally chosen their nominees for the 2012 presidential election. Let the real race begin.

A lot can change between now and Nov. 6: Gaffes, scandals or even major international news events could shift the dynamics of the campaign.

The latest Gallup Polls show registered voters preferring Obama to Mitt Romney by just one percentage point, 47 percent to 46 percent. A USA Today/Gallup poll taken just before the party conventions found American voters think Obama is more likeable, but trust Romney more to handle the economy.

Pundits have been busy for months handicapping the major-party candidates on various factors: incumbent advantage, fundraising clout, even religion.

Patch wants to know: Regardless of whom you support for president, who do you think will actually claim victory in November?

Vote in our poll below, and let us know your reasoning in the comments. Log in with your free Patch account to vote or comment.

  • Who do you think will win the 2012 presidential election?

    (Voting has been closed for this question)
    • Barack Obama
        20 (43%)
    • Mitt Romney
        26 (56%)
    • Other answer (Please explain in the comments.)
        0 (0%)
    Total votes: 46
  • Your vote will only count once. This is not a scientific poll. View Results Vote!
About this column: Find all your election profiles, news and stories right here. Related Topics: Barack Obama, Mitt Romney, elections 2012, and participate 2012

Eve

4:12 pm on Friday, September 7, 2012

Hoping for Romney/Ryan win;)

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Eve

4:13 pm on Friday, September 7, 2012

Me and my husband have a 20$ bet. I think Obama will win reelection, he thinks Romney.

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Eric Grahame Leach

5:21 pm on Friday, September 7, 2012

Romney seems unprepared and a terrible Statesman. He managed to insult most of the British people, on hiis recent visit to the U. K. He also seems wooden and elitist. He frightens me and seems very naive.

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Hawkeye

5:41 pm on Friday, September 7, 2012

There simply will be no contest. President Obama will win the election snd proudly serve a second term. I believe in family values, and Obama is the one to protect those values. Mitt has absolutely no platform whatsoever, other than to attact the President. This ploy is old and Americans are fed up with this rhetoric nonsense... they want jobs, 'American and built in America jobs'.

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Mary Anne

8:34 am on Saturday, September 8, 2012

Reelection of President Obama. The woman vote will decide this one

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Josie

9:03 am on Saturday, September 8, 2012

I guess everyone is better off today than 4 years ago??

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Josie

9:46 am on Saturday, September 8, 2012

I know I;m not My vote is for Romney/Ryan. !!

Debbie H.

9:23 am on Saturday, September 8, 2012

This will probably be the most crucial election in the history of America. Why Obama was ever elected is beyond me! His words have captivated millions, but do they really understand what his political beliefs are and why does no one question the type of people he has been associated with all his life? Those people are really scary people and the Obama Zombies don't even seem to care!

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Josie

9:44 am on Saturday, September 8, 2012

Everyone needs to see "2016 Obama's America" before you vote in Nov. It is avail on Netflix . It is a documentary, not really a bashing movie, in fact, a lot of things that were said - came from Obama himself. But you all need to see what kind of change he is talking about.

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jeri

4:30 pm on Saturday, September 8, 2012

Why Bush was ever elected is beyond me! Remember Gore/Bush hanging chads? Voter suppression. Jeb Bush governer. No re-vote in Florida, Gore actually won.
With Bush look at who he is associated with.. Romney has let those same people buy him. Bush, war, housing fiasco, horrible debt, bankruptcy, war on terror looked at every country to invade, didn't even bother to go after the terrorist that master minded 9/11, he did fly bin laden family off safely and quickly after 9/11 even though all planes were to be grounded
. Romney won't even show his tax returns, Ann said, what he has given is good enough because the democrats will attack him. Well Duh!!!! He's hiding or lying about something. So funny that Republicans think you and everyone is so stupid. We've all had amnesia since the Clinton Administration. And Romney, the Bain Equity King is miraculously going to clean up the economy and create more jobs. It's more like borrow on us, sell us to the highest bidder, make a huge zillion dollar profit and outsource us to China.

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Lisa Ledwith

8:58 pm on Saturday, September 8, 2012

Josie. Josie, Josie..... A MOVIE? Hear-say? From what? The news papers? A lot of things that were said--->Came from Obama "HIMSELF" Pleeeeeeeeease, please sweetheart,EDUCATE YOURSELF BEFORE IT IS TO LATE!" BELIEVE nothing of what you SEE and only half of what you hear. Again, Please educate yourself! And DEBBIE H. You should do the same! I can go head to head with YOU about the "TYPE OF PEOPLE President Obama has associated himself with, verses Romney... Romney WILL TEAR AMERICA TO PIECES! The only ones who will be left alive will be the VERYT RICH... Just wait my dear until the "DEBATES." I am looking forward to them, Ryan and Romney will be chewed up and spit oout! Tell me, WHAT IS ROMNEY going to do for us, *****BE SPECIFIC, both of you????????? Waiting! Lisa

If You Want It Done Right, Do It Yourself!

10:22 am on Saturday, September 8, 2012

We have had the worst recovery from a recession in 70 years. With a track record like that Romney should be easily ahead by ten points by now, but instead Obama is ahead!(although by a small amount). If the Republicans had put up a good candidate Obama would be toast, but instead they got Romney. Even most Republicans don't like him. Voters will choose Obama in Nov, but not because they think Obama is so good but because they see Romney as worse. Let's just hope that Obama learned from his mistakes and the next four years are better than the last four.

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AREAL

11:01 am on Wednesday, September 19, 2012

Why should Obama make an effort? He did not go out of his way to improve the economy, instead he blamed President Bush...to no avail. He will not do anything different because he knows he cannot be elected again, so he will continue playing golf, kissing and hugging woman, travelling all over the world with his family...etc. Why should he make an effort?

Phyllis Town

1:29 pm on Saturday, September 8, 2012

President Obama will win and he deserves it. President Clinton left office witha balanced budget. Times were prosperous. Bush and his administration came in and spent on two wars, pushed deregulation, etc...the country went down in flames! Obama came in and stopped the bleeding. The damage created by 8 years of Bush's poor decisions is going to take years to clean up. Like Cluntin said atthrcomvention, not one person, or president could have possibly fixed all the problems in just 4 years! If the main goal if the republicans wadn't to fight Obama on every issue in order to make him fail, there would be infrastructure of cities going on creating thousands of jobs repairing bridges, roads etc.,.and this is only one example of what they did to prevent growth and prosperity for the citizens of i our country. Not to mention the fact that they will continue to give tax breaks to the wealthy and burden our diminishing middle class. Oh and the healthcare act.. Why people fight against that I will never understand. If you don't have a pre-existing condition now, someday you will and without this healthcare plan you are flat out of luck! I could not get insured after breast cancer. Now I have insurance and it is the best policy I have ever had. It saved my life!

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Lisa Ledwith

8:59 pm on Saturday, September 8, 2012

I am voting for the ONE who cares about US, not $$$$$$$$$$$$
President Obama - Joe Biden 2012

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Lisa Ledwith

9:05 pm on Saturday, September 8, 2012

Romneys Impossible Tax PROMISE Part 1
Tax experts — including one who supports Romney’s plan — say the Republican presidential candidate’s promise to cut individual income tax rates without either favoring the wealthy or losing revenue isn’t mathematically possible.

That’s the conclusion of the Tax Policy Center in a report the Romney campaign attacked as “biased” (although the campaign previously praised the TPC as “objective,” when it issued a report critical of a rival’s tax plan).

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Lisa Ledwith

9:07 pm on Saturday, September 8, 2012

Part 2
And it’s also the conclusion of an expert from the pro-business Tax Foundation, who states that the Tax Policy Center analysis “correctly identified the Romney plan as a tax cut, at least in static terms, that accrues mainly to high-income earners.”

Romney has proposed very specific tax cuts. He would make the Bush-era income tax cuts and capital gains tax cuts permanent, then cut all income tax rates by an additional 20 percent across the board, repeal the Alternative Minimum Tax (which hits primarily upper-income taxpayers), and permanently repeal the estate tax (which currently applies only to estates valued at $5 million or more).

Romney has said he would offset the loss of personal income tax revenue (estimated at $360 billion a year by the Tax Policy Center) by reducing tax deductions and credits. And he has said he would do this while making sure that those at the top keep paying the “same share of the tax burden they’re paying now.”

But he has steadfastly refused to say which tax preferences would be cut or reduced. He has pointed to the revenue-neutral proposals for rate-cutting put forth by the deficit commission as evidence that what he proposes is possible in theory, but those proposals pay for the cuts largely by taxing capital gains at the higher rates that apply to ordinary income, a measure Romney has specifically ruled out.

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Lisa Ledwith

9:07 pm on Saturday, September 8, 2012

part 3
So Romney has failed to produce evidence that what he promises is possible. And we judge that the weight of evidence and expert opinion is clear — it’s not possible.

Romney says this criticism ignores his separate plan to cut corporate tax rates, which he says will stimulate economic growth. Indeed, there’s evidence to suggest that cutting corporate taxes can do that, and the Tax Foundation expert (who supports Romney’s plan) suggests that more jobs would be an acceptable trade-off for a less progressive personal income tax system.

But how much growth to expect is debatable, especially because Romney proposes to cut only the corporate tax rate, not corporate taxes overall. He would offset the rate cut by eliminating tax preferences resulting in no loss of revenue. During the Bush administration, Treasury Department experts concluded that the corporate rate could be dropped to 28 percent without losing revenue (Romney proposes 25 percent), but that such a trade-off “might well have little or no effect” on economic growth.
READ MORE:
http://factcheck.org/2012/08/romneys-impossible-tax-promise/

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Lisa Ledwith

9:09 pm on Saturday, September 8, 2012

FACTS:
TAMPA, Fla. — In a speech heavy on anecdotal history but short on policy details, Mitt Romney avoided major falsehoods in making his case to the American public while accepting the presidential nomination at the Republican National Convention.

Even a key Democratic strategist, Bill Burton, a former press secretary for President Obama, tweeted shortly after the speech ended: “Romney actually avoided almost all of the lies from Ryan’s speech.” That was a reference to Rep. Paul Ryan’s address the night before, which we found to contain a number of false and misleading claims.

In Romney’s case, we found a few bits of exaggeration and puffery. He exaggerated the loss in family income that has occurred under Obama, for example, including 13 months of losses that actually occurred before the president took office. And he made a back-handed accusation that Obama has raised taxes on middle-class taxpayers, when in fact the president has lobbied for and signed several temporary reductions.

Likewise, we found some misleading claims from convention speakers who preceded Romney on the final day of the GOP convention. For example, former House Speaker Newt Gingrich repeated the bogus claim that Obama has “gutted” the welfare overhaul law, when all he has done is allow states to seek flexibility to experiment with applying the law’s work requirement.
MORE http://factcheck.org/2012/08/romneys-big-night/

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Lisa Ledwith

9:10 pm on Saturday, September 8, 2012

VP SPIN
TAMPA, Fla. — Paul Ryan’s acceptance speech at the Republican convention contained several false claims and misleading statements. Delegates cheered as the vice presidential nominee:
■Accused President Obama’s health care law of funneling money away from Medicare “at the expense of the elderly.” In fact, Medicare’s chief actuary says the law “substantially improves” the system’s finances, and Ryan himself has embraced the same savings.
■Accused Obama of doing “exactly nothing” about recommendations of a bipartisan deficit commission — which Ryan himself helped scuttle.
■Claimed the American people were “cut out” of stimulus spending. Actually, more than a quarter of all stimulus dollars went for tax relief for workers.
■Faulted Obama for failing to deliver a 2008 campaign promise to keep a Wisconsin plant open. It closed less than a month before Obama took office.
■Blamed Obama for the loss of a AAA credit rating for the U.S. Actually, Standard & Poor’s blamed the downgrade on the uncompromising stands of both Republicans and Democrats.

And when he wasn’t attacking Obama, Ryan was puffing up the record of his running mate, Mitt Romney, on taxes and unemployment.
MORE http://factcheck.org/2012/08/ryans-vp-spin/

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Lisa Ledwith

9:11 pm on Saturday, September 8, 2012

Taking Money from Medicare?

Ryan continued the campaign’s false line of attack that Obama had “funneled” money out of Medicare to pay for the federal health care law “at the expense of the elderly.” But that’s contradicted by Medicare’s chief actuary, in a statement at the end of the most recent report of the system’s trustees (our emphasis added):

Medicare Actuary, April 23, 2012: [Obama's] Affordable Care Act makes important changes to the Medicare program and substantially improves its financial outlook …

Medicare’s money isn’t being taken away. The Affordable Care Act calls for slowing the growth in spending, a move that — if successful — would keep the hospital insurance trust fund solvent for longer than if the reductions didn’t happen.

Ryan himself proposed keeping most of these same spending cuts in his most recent “Path to Prosperity” budget. Yet, Ryan criticized Obama’s cuts as “the biggest, coldest power play of all” and suggested seniors would suffer as a result.

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Lisa Ledwith

9:12 pm on Saturday, September 8, 2012

Ryan, Aug. 29: And the biggest, coldest power play of all in Obamacare came at the expense of the elderly. … [T]hey just took it all away from Medicare, $716 billion funneled out of Medicare by President Obama.

The Affordable Care Act calls for a $716 billion reduction in the future growth of Medicare spending over 10 years, with most of that — about $415 billion — coming from a reduction in the future growth of payments to hospitals through Medicare Part A. And Medicare Part A’s trust fund, as we’ve explained before, is in trouble financially. It’s set to be insolvent in 2024, even with these spending cuts. Without them, the trust fund wouldn’t be able to fully pay projected benefits in 2016, the Medicare trustees estimate.

Deficit Commission

Ryan accused Obama of doing “exactly nothing” about recommendations from a bipartisan presidential commission to reduce the deficit. But Ryan himself was among a minority of commission members whose opposition scuttled the plan and prevented it from being sent automatically to Congress for action.

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Lisa Ledwith

9:13 pm on Saturday, September 8, 2012

Ryan: He created a new bipartisan debt commission. They came back with an urgent report. He thanks them, sent them on their way, and then did exactly nothing. Republicans stepped up with good-faith reforms and solutions equal to the problems. How did the president respond? By doing nothing — nothing except to dodge and demagogue the issue.

The National Commission on Fiscal Responsibility and Reform’s report proposed deep spending cuts in both domestic and military spending, and an overhaul of the tax code that would have lowered rates but raised revenues — all in an attempt to slow the growth of government by $4 trillion over 10 years.

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Lisa Ledwith

9:13 pm on Saturday, September 8, 2012

Many Republicans, including Ryan, opposed the military cuts and new tax revenue, while many Democrats opposed changes to Social Security that included raising the full retirement age.

The 18-member commission needed a super majority of 14 votes in order to bring the report to a vote in Congress. But it received the support of just 11 members. Seven members, including Ryan, opposed it, thus blocking congressional action.

In a statement on the final report, Ryan said he “could not support the plan in its entirety,” but said some elements of it were “worthy of further pursuit.”

Ryan opposed the commission’s approach to paying for lower federal income tax rates by taxing capital gains and dividends as ordinary income (see footnote on page 29). In his own latest budget plan, Ryan proposed to keep the current capital gains tax rate, arguing that to do otherwise “could precipitate a flight of capital away from job-creating businesses.”

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Lisa Ledwith

9:14 pm on Saturday, September 8, 2012

Like Ryan, Obama thanked the commission in a Dec. 3, 2010, statement that promised to “study closely” its proposals for possible inclusion in his own budget plans. Nine months later, Obama submitted a deficit reduction plan to the Joint Select Committee on Deficit Reduction that was designed to reduce the deficit by $3.6 trillion over 10 years through a package of spending cuts and tax hikes.

Obama and House Speaker John Boehner, a Republican, tried to work out a so-called “Grand Bargain” that would have reduced the deficit through a mix of tax hikes and spending cuts — and even changes to Social Security. The New York Times reported that the Grand Bargain would have raised the retirement age and changed the formula for calculating benefits. But, as the Times reported, the deal fell through as members of Boehner’s caucus objected to raising taxes.

In short, both Ryan and Obama have proposed deficit-reduction plans — and each opposed the other’s plan.

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Lisa Ledwith

9:18 pm on Saturday, September 8, 2012

Now I can get into Women's health care, Head start, food stamps, medicade, Equilr Rights, Cuts, HUGE cuts that will put millions of middle class FAMILIES OUT IN THE STREETS! MORE taxes, but for the POOR and middle class, NOT THE RICH! Aborton -rape incest and sooooooooooo many more MAJOR changes... Please I mean NO ILL WILL.. But educate yourself on ALL the policies on both sides, please. You can not FIX what is completely broken in just 4 years... President Obama is not playing G-d Like Romney and Ryan are!

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jeri

9:53 pm on Saturday, September 8, 2012

Lisa if you run for office-you got my vote: Amen Sister

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Lisa Ledwith

10:45 pm on Saturday, September 8, 2012

Jeri, I HATE politic's, but OMG what are "some people thinking?" All they have to do is check the REAL FACTS! Are we as American's doing good, NO... No we are not, I see all kinds of crap I don't like, but is it ALL President Obama's fault? NO! No! NO! It is not, not even in my humble opinion 1/4 of is his fault. The repubs. have faught him tooth and nail and "everyone knows it, it is on RECORD! I am now seeing so many lies come out of Romney and Ryans mouth, it make me sick and people BELIEVE them. There is NO possible way President Obama could ever fix all that is wrong, not with what he was left to clean up, no way, not in 4 years, but he HAS DONE SO MUCH! Yes, people are hurting, so they hear someone, ANYONE come along and say, "hey we will FIX it, He can't but we can" Yes Romney can fix it so the rich get richer and the middle class and poor ARE GONE! He cares about no one, LISTEN TO HIM, listen to how that man talks, look at his eyes... He is NOT an honest man. His beliefs are NOT MINE, that is all. cont....

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Lisa Ledwith

10:54 pm on Saturday, September 8, 2012

Cont....
I would NEVE EVER tell a rape victim what she can or can not do and YES I believe in LIFE, but do not have a MAN (and I mean a STUPID MAN at that) tell me, good people have been born out of RAPE, ARE YOU KIDDING ME? I also believe everyone and I MEAN EVERYONE has the RIGHT to make their own educated decisions about their health. PERIOD! I think women should be paid the same pay as a man if they do the same job as a man! WHY not, are we a Less than?? All it takes is BRAINS! But, Thank you Jeri, but never happen. xo

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Lisa Ledwith

10:58 pm on Saturday, September 8, 2012

One more thing.. if you believe President Obama should be Reelected, than tell other's to Vote for him, read the above and share it with your friends and get out there and VOTE. if Not... if he doesn't win, God help all of us.

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JOE

10:10 am on Sunday, September 9, 2012

Why President Obama deserves a second term
According to the bureau of labor statistics(independent government agency) the economy has created 4.5 million jobs in the private sector since Jan. 2010
When Obama took office we were losing 750,000 jobs a month.Last year the republicans blocked the president’s job plan which would of resulted in a million new jobs .Under President Obama more than 500,000 manufacturing jobs have been created. The first time manufacturing jobs have increased since the 1990’s
•Since 1961 the republican administrations have created 24 million jobs and the Democratic administrations created 42 million jobs. A recognized fact from fact checkers
•Osama Bin laden is dead and GM is alive
•Saved 1 million jobs by saving GM while Romney stated “I am opposed to the Auto industry bailout, GM should of went into bankruptcy”
•There is 250, more jobs in the auto industry then the day the companies were restructured
•Romney wants to turn Medicare into a voucher system that will cost seniors more than $6,000 a year
•Under the affordable care act aka Obama care healthcare spending has grown only 4% in the last 2 years. The lowest in 50 years
Lifetime Insurance caps have been removed
Children up to the age of 26 are covered
• Obama Cut 716 billion dollars in unwarranted subsidies to providers and insurance companies. Romney if elected wants to return that money to the insurance companies
• Added 8 years to the life of the medicare trust fund

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JOE

10:12 am on Sunday, September 9, 2012

Are we better off than 4 years ago? Yes we are
TRUE — As the Senate Republican leader said, in a remarkable moment of candor, two full years before the election, their number-one priority was not to put America back to work. It was to put the president out of work.
TRUE — They want to cut taxes for high-income Americans even more than President Bush did.
The 2001-08 tax cuts reduced taxes on the top 1 percent by an average of 7.3 percent of their income, in 2010. The latest House Republican budget, crafted by VP nominee Paul Ryan, cuts taxes on the top 1 percent by 11.7 percent of their income.
TRUE — They want to get rid of those pesky financial regulations designed to prevent another crash and prohibit federal bailouts.

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Mike

4:42 pm on Monday, September 17, 2012

Obamas failure record is now available. Anyone that votes for 4 more years of that is all for a government run country not about the government working for the people. Read the constitution! It starts with "We the people" not we the government! Go see Obamas America 2016 for more details.

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